New activity humming; Pipeline growing; FLNC/TSLA share gains; Raising our battery storage projections
In this note, we are updating our large scale battery storage data (ES-1, ES-3, ES-3.1, ES-3.2) after processing 2Q new construction starts, interconnections, and market share.
ENPH volumes up, but broader market still languishing
We are revising down our 2024E projection to -25%, the first notable revision since we published -18% in September 2023.
Updating Q2 model / database (2024E unchanged); Tracker backlog @ 9 GWac; Texas grid 10% solar this summer
In this note, we are updating our utility solar database and pipeline.
SOLARSAT™: Record Q2 new construction starts (9.3 GWac); Top 30 finally ramping; Tracker installs flat y/y
During the month, another 16 projects have kicked off, shrugging off potential AD/CVD tariffs and contrary to the solar construction delay narrative.
Expected rebound NOT materializing; May permits still down 35% y/y (Cali down 60%)
The much anticipated rebound in residential solar activity is not yet happening, according to our recent permit data.
SOLARSAT™: Another 18 big projects (3 GWac) kicked off in May; Trackers on pace for flattish y/y; SEIA estimates way too low
Despite SEIA claims of a slowdown, persistent delay anecdotes, and tariff fears, actual new solar construction has remained firm.
Momentum continues; Record new construction starts; FLNC+TSLA share gains
In this note we are updating our quarterly large scale battery storage (BESS) data.
Pipeline update – new approvals down again; Late stage queue flat at 112 GWac
In this note, we are updating our utility solar database and pipeline.
SOLARSAT™: New construction – no problem; Nextera overweight; Trackers flat; Shoals losing share
U.S. utility-scale solar market is having no problem starting projects.
AD/CVD pockets of risk, but mostly exaggerated
In this note, we summarize our recent data collected surrounding U.S. solar module imports and solar demand as it relates to AD/CVD risk.